In-season blend · through week 5

2026 Power Ratings

All 136 FBS teams • Published opponent-adjusted EPA blend (trusts in-season games sooner) vs the August preseason ledger • sellable points are Egg ridge deltas for spreads only.

Published blend

rating_points is the mix of measured opponent-adjusted EPA and the August preseason projection — in-season games take over faster as the sample grows. sellable_points adds Egg ridge deltas for spreads — it does not redefine deserved luck on Live Room.

Click any rank badge to pick two teams and get a neutral-site spread.

In-seasonOpponent-adjusted EPA blend (trusts in-season games sooner) · sellable = Egg ridge deltas for spreads

RankTeamPublishedSellableGMeas %Shift
NOTREDAME logo
Notre Dame
FBS Independents
+30.0
+29.3
5
94%
+11.9
ALABAMA logo
Alabama
SEC
+29.1
+20.8
5
95%
+18.1
OHIOSTATE logo
Ohio State
Big Ten
+26.4
+29.4
5
87%
-2.0
LSU logo
LSU
SEC
+24.4
+19.2
4
93%
+13.3
GEORGIA logo
Georgia
SEC
+24.2
+26.1
4
88%
+4.0
MIAMI logo
Miami
ACC
+23.2
+21.4
4
90%
+7.3
UTAH logo
Utah
Big 12
+21.8
+13.7
3
82%
+8.4
INDIANA logo
Indiana
Big Ten
+21.4
+25.5
4
86%
-3.1
BYU logo
BYU
Big 12
+20.0
+12.1
3
82%
+2.7
OREGON logo
Oregon
Big Ten
+18.6
+22.0
3
82%
-2.9
TEXAS logo
Texas
SEC
+18.0
+23.4
4
83%
+0.9
MISSOURI logo
Missouri
SEC
+15.9
+13.0
4
86%
+2.7
PENNSTATE logo
Penn State
Big Ten
+15.4
+14.1
5
90%
+4.8
WISCONSIN logo
Wisconsin
Big Ten
+14.8
+9.7
4
94%
+15.0
BOISESTATE logo
Boise State
Pac-12
+14.3
+5.5
4
93%
+11.7
OKLAHOMA logo
Oklahoma
SEC
+14.3
+16.0
4
86%
-2.5
MISSISSIPPISTATE logo
Mississippi State
SEC
+14.3
+11.8
5
91%
+5.8
USC logo
USC
Big Ten
+14.1
+17.5
6
88%
-1.1
NORTHWESTERN logo
Northwestern
Big Ten
+13.7
+6.5
3
82%
+6.1
OLEMISS logo
Ole Miss
SEC
+13.2
+16.9
4
88%
-4.8
TENNESSEE logo
Tennessee
SEC
+12.9
+15.7
4
80%
-0.0
WAKEFOREST logo
Wake Forest
ACC
+12.5
+4.8
5
92%
+7.6
NEBRASKA logo
Nebraska
Big Ten
+12.5
+11.3
4
86%
+2.6
WASHINGTON logo
Washington
Big Ten
+12.3
+12.9
4
88%
-3.9
TEXASTECH logo
Texas Tech
Big 12
+11.9
+13.7
4
92%
-11.3
NEWMEXICO logo
New Mexico
Mountain West
+11.9
-0.7
4
93%
+12.2
ARIZONA logo
Arizona
Big 12
+11.5
+9.3
4
86%
-2.7
JAMESMADISON logo
James Madison
Sun Belt
+10.8
-1.8
4
94%
+17.9
LOUISVILLE logo
Louisville
ACC
+10.7
+8.3
4
83%
-1.2
SOUTHCAROLINA logo
South Carolina
SEC
+9.9
+11.4
4
84%
-1.3
DUKE logo
Duke
ACC
+9.6
+5.3
3
82%
+5.1
UCLA logo
UCLA
Big Ten
+9.5
+7.7
4
93%
+12.6
MICHIGAN logo
Michigan
Big Ten
+9.3
+14.4
5
86%
-1.3
KENTUCKY logo
Kentucky
SEC
+9.3
+8.0
4
90%
+7.0
TEXASAM logo
Texas A&M
SEC
+8.5
+16.9
5
95%
-13.8
BAYLOR logo
Baylor
Big 12
+8.0
+6.5
4
89%
+5.8
FLORIDASTATE logo
Florida State
ACC
+7.9
+6.2
4
85%
+2.1
KANSAS logo
Kansas
Big 12
+7.6
+3.8
3
82%
+5.1
PITTSBURGH logo
Pittsburgh
ACC
+7.6
+8.5
4
87%
+3.2
VANDERBILT logo
Vanderbilt
SEC
+7.6
+3.9
4
90%
-6.6
KANSASSTATE logo
Kansas State
Big 12
+7.0
+10.8
3
82%
+2.8
AUBURN logo
Auburn
SEC
+6.6
+12.5
5
87%
-1.6
MEMPHIS logo
Memphis
American Athletic
+6.5
-0.4
4
90%
+7.4
FLORIDA logo
Florida
SEC
+6.4
+17.4
4
86%
+2.5
IOWA logo
Iowa
Big Ten
+6.2
+12.3
4
89%
-5.6
HOUSTON logo
Houston
Big 12
+6.0
+9.6
4
85%
-2.1
SMU logo
SMU
ACC
+5.3
+8.1
4
91%
-7.8
GEORGIASTATE logo
Georgia State
Sun Belt
+5.1
-7.2
4
96%
+24.7
SOUTHFLORIDA logo
South Florida
American Athletic
+4.7
-5.3
4
89%
+6.0
TCU logo
TCU
Big 12
+4.7
+6.4
4
85%
-2.3
UCF logo
UCF
Big 12
+4.2
+3.1
4
87%
+3.4
TEXASSTATE logo
Texas State
Pac-12
+3.7
-2.1
4
83%
+1.2
VIRGINIA logo
Virginia
ACC
+3.3
+8.0
4
85%
-2.3
TOLEDO logo
Toledo
Mid-American
+3.1
-4.7
4
92%
+9.5
CINCINNATI logo
Cincinnati
Big 12
+2.9
+4.5
4
85%
-2.0
FRESNOSTATE logo
Fresno State
Pac-12
+2.7
-2.1
5
89%
+3.7
VIRGINIATECH logo
Virginia Tech
ACC
+2.3
+7.6
4
90%
+6.3
CLEMSON logo
Clemson
ACC
+2.1
+6.0
5
91%
-5.0
UTSA logo
UTSA
American Athletic
+1.7
-1.1
4
80%
-0.1
IOWASTATE logo
Iowa State
Big 12
+1.6
+3.7
4
88%
+4.5
LIBERTY logo
Liberty
Conference USA
+1.3
-6.0
4
93%
+13.3
NORTHTEXAS logo
North Texas
American Athletic
+1.0
-2.0
4
88%
+4.6
NAVY logo
Navy
American Athletic
+0.1
-2.0
3
82%
-2.4
MINNESOTA logo
Minnesota
Big Ten
+0.0
+6.0
4
90%
-7.4
EASTCAROLINA logo
East Carolina
American Athletic
+0.0
-3.7
3
82%
-0.6
LOUISIANA logo
Louisiana
Sun Belt
+0.0
-8.6
4
92%
+10.9
OREGONSTATE logo
Oregon State
Pac-12
-0.0
-5.1
4
92%
+11.1
PURDUE logo
Purdue
Big Ten
-0.2
+1.0
4
84%
-1.8
ILLINOIS logo
Illinois
Big Ten
-0.2
+9.5
4
92%
-9.5
NORTHCAROLINA logo
North Carolina
ACC
-0.3
+3.5
3
82%
+3.0
UNLV logo
UNLV
Mountain West
-0.4
+0.6
5
88%
+2.7
BOSTONCOLLEGE logo
Boston College
ACC
-0.9
-1.3
4
87%
+3.4
ARIZONASTATE logo
Arizona State
Big 12
-2.1
+8.1
3
82%
-7.7
LOUISIANATECH logo
Louisiana Tech
Sun Belt
-2.2
-10.0
3
82%
+0.2
GEORGIATECH logo
Georgia Tech
ACC
-2.3
+1.1
3
82%
-10.7
TEMPLE logo
Temple
American Athletic
-2.4
-11.6
4
86%
+2.8
OKLAHOMASTATE logo
Oklahoma State
Big 12
-2.6
+4.2
3
82%
+5.4
TULSA logo
Tulsa
American Athletic
-3.7
-5.5
4
86%
+3.1
COLORADO logo
Colorado
Big 12
-3.9
+2.5
4
84%
-1.6
ARMY logo
Army
American Athletic
-3.9
-5.4
3
82%
-4.5
TULANE logo
Tulane
American Athletic
-4.0
-3.6
4
80%
-0.0
UTAHSTATE logo
Utah State
Pac-12
-4.0
-6.9
4
84%
-1.8
AIRFORCE logo
Air Force
Mountain West
-4.2
-3.7
3
82%
-1.6
MICHIGANSTATE logo
Michigan State
Big Ten
-4.4
+4.0
5
89%
-2.8
SANJOSSTATE logo
San José State
Mountain West
-4.4
-9.4
4
93%
+12.0
NCSTATE logo
NC State
ACC
-4.6
+1.4
4
92%
-9.4
JACKSONVILLESTATE logo
Jacksonville State
Conference USA
-4.7
-9.4
4
90%
+7.2
MARYLAND logo
Maryland
Big Ten
-4.8
+0.8
4
91%
-7.9
SANDIEGOSTATE logo
San Diego State
Pac-12
-4.9
-7.7
4
91%
-8.1
WESTVIRGINIA logo
West Virginia
Big 12
-5.0
+2.8
4
89%
-5.0
UCONN logo
UConn
FBS Independents
-5.1
-10.8
4
88%
+3.9
FLORIDAINTERNATIONAL logo
Florida International
Conference USA
-6.0
-12.4
3
82%
+5.1
TROY logo
Troy
Sun Belt
-6.4
-9.0
3
82%
-0.5
WASHINGTONSTATE logo
Washington State
Pac-12
-6.8
-4.2
4
91%
-8.7
APPSTATE logo
App State
Sun Belt
-7.0
-6.7
3
82%
+5.3
FLORIDAATLANTIC logo
Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
-7.6
-6.9
4
86%
-3.0
WESTERNMICHIGAN logo
Western Michigan
Mid-American
-7.7
-5.2
4
89%
-5.6
MIAMIOH logo
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
-7.9
-8.1
4
83%
-1.3
ARKANSAS logo
Arkansas
SEC
-8.2
+2.1
4
93%
-13.2
OLDDOMINION logo
Old Dominion
Sun Belt
-8.7
-9.0
4
90%
-6.5
CENTRALMICHIGAN logo
Central Michigan
Mid-American
-8.7
-12.0
4
84%
+1.8
SYRACUSE logo
Syracuse
ACC
-9.0
+1.6
3
82%
-5.5
GEORGIASOUTHERN logo
Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
-9.6
-9.3
4
84%
+1.6
CALIFORNIA logo
California
ACC
-9.9
+0.9
4
91%
-8.8
OHIO logo
Ohio
Mid-American
-10.0
-11.2
4
87%
+3.5
NEVADA logo
Nevada
Mountain West
-10.3
-11.1
3
82%
+1.8
EASTERNMICHIGAN logo
Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
-10.4
-10.6
5
84%
-0.4
NEWMEXICOSTATE logo
New Mexico State
Conference USA
-10.6
-15.2
4
89%
+5.4
STANFORD logo
Stanford
ACC
-10.8
-5.6
5
88%
-2.2
HAWAII logo
Hawai'i
Mountain West
-10.8
-8.2
5
93%
-8.3
UAB logo
UAB
American Athletic
-11.1
-11.3
4
89%
+4.9
ARKANSASSTATE logo
Arkansas State
Sun Belt
-11.3
-10.0
4
82%
-0.6
MARSHALL logo
Marshall
Sun Belt
-12.2
-10.1
4
89%
-5.1
SOUTHALABAMA logo
South Alabama
Sun Belt
-12.5
-8.0
4
84%
-1.7
RICE logo
Rice
American Athletic
-12.7
-11.5
4
85%
-2.3
KENNESAWSTATE logo
Kennesaw State
Conference USA
-13.5
-12.0
3
82%
-1.7
MASSACHUSETTS logo
Massachusetts
Mid-American
-13.9
-14.2
3
82%
+12.3
SAMHOUSTON logo
Sam Houston
Conference USA
-13.9
-18.4
3
82%
+7.1
NORTHERNILLINOIS logo
Northern Illinois
Mountain West
-14.0
-14.0
3
82%
+0.9
COASTALCAROLINA logo
Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
-14.4
-12.7
4
86%
-2.9
COLORADOSTATE logo
Colorado State
Pac-12
-14.4
-11.9
4
89%
-5.0
SOUTHERNMISS logo
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
-15.0
-15.5
3
82%
-2.6
RUTGERS logo
Rutgers
Big Ten
-15.0
+1.3
4
94%
-15.8
MIDDLETENNESSEE logo
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
-15.2
-14.5
4
81%
+0.4
DELAWARE logo
Delaware
Conference USA
-16.2
-13.9
4
90%
-6.4
WYOMING logo
Wyoming
Mountain West
-16.3
-11.8
4
89%
-5.0
BUFFALO logo
Buffalo
Mid-American
-16.4
-20.0
3
82%
-2.3
MISSOURISTATE logo
Missouri State
Conference USA
-16.8
-16.2
3
82%
-0.4
BOWLINGGREEN logo
Bowling Green
Mid-American
-17.0
-18.5
4
87%
-3.2
KENTSTATE logo
Kent State
Mid-American
-18.3
-16.2
4
86%
-2.5
ULMONROE logo
UL Monroe
Sun Belt
-19.4
-15.5
4
85%
-2.2
CHARLOTTE logo
Charlotte
American Athletic
-20.7
-20.6
4
88%
-4.7
BALLSTATE logo
Ball State
Mid-American
-21.7
-20.2
4
80%
-0.0
AKRON logo
Akron
Mid-American
-24.9
-24.9
4
93%
-12.4
WESTERNKENTUCKY logo
Western Kentucky
Conference USA
-25.4
-25.4
4
95%
-18.5
UTEP logo
UTEP
Mountain West
-27.3
-27.3
4
93%
-11.5